Dongen vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 1
DON
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HOO
1 - 1
DON
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 1
OSS
24%
22%
53%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 0
DON
49%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DON
1 - 1
EVV
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
HAR
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
VVS
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STE
0 - 2
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 1
ODI
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |