Donegal Celtic vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
DON
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
GLE
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
21%
21%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 2
POR
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |