Donegal Celtic vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
DON
74%
17%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DON
0 - 1
GLE
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
DON
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |