EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Doncaster Rovers vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
COL
1 - 0
DON
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
DON
2 - 1
WIG
38%
28%
34%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
SCU
2 - 2
DON
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
DON
1 - 0
BAR
35%
29%
35%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
DON
0 - 1
GIL
39%
30%
31%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
PLY
2 - 1
YOR
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
BHA
1 - 3
YOR
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
YOR
0 - 1
BPO
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
YOR
0 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
CUM
2 - 0
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |