FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Doncaster Rovers vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 2
DON
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 4
DON
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
DON
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
DON
2 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
DON
1 - 0
BHA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 2
BCF
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
SWI
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
DON
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 0
MAN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |