League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Doncaster Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 2
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 2
DON
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 4
DON
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DON
4 - 2
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DON
4 - 0
STA
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 2
DON
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
CRE
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 3
WRE
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 3
GRI
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |