FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-0
Doncaster Rovers vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 2
DON
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
DON
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
BUR
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
2 - 4
DON
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DON
0 - 1
WOL
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
DON
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 6
POS
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
YEO
1 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
WAL
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |