Donaufeld vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ADM
1 - 1
DON
21%
23%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DON
4 - 1
POS
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 3
DON
7%
15%
78%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DON
1 - 0
DON
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 5
DON
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
6 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
OST
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 6
TEA
21%
22%
58%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |