Donaufeld vs Modling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
SPI
5 - 1
DON
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
AUK
0 - 2
DON
65%
19%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
DON
1 - 4
LAS
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
WAT
1 - 1
DON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
DON
0 - 0
ALT
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
WAT
0 - 3
MOD
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
ALT
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
RIE
1 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |