Donaufeld vs Mauerwerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+97%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
11º
1º
13
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
57.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DON
2 - 1
ELE
67%
18%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
DON
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 0
AUS
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
DON
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 2
KRE
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 1
MAU
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAU
5 - 1
SCW
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +4 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
5 - 1
MAU
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 0
ASV
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FAV
0 - 1
MAU
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |