Donaufeld vs Gersthofer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SKS
1 - 4
DON
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
AUS
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OST
1 - 1
DON
55%
22%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DON
5 - 0
LAC
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ADM
0 - 1
DON
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gersthofer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
GER
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DON
0 - 0
GER
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SKS
1 - 2
GER
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GER
0 - 4
AUS
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
OST
3 - 0
GER
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |