Donaufeld vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
DON
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DON
1 - 4
POS
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
DON
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
REN
2 - 3
DON
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
DON
3 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
GER
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
SKS
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
SSH
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
LAC
2 - 0
FOR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |