Donaufeld vs Austria Wien II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
11º
1º
9
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
14 | 61 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 48 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 47 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 45 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 39 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 27 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
65% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
DON
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 2
KRE
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
DON
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DON
2 - 0
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DON
0 - 2
SVS
40%
23%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
WIE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
AUS
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
SCW
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 2
FAC
14%
21%
66%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 2
SVS
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |