Donaufeld vs Bruck/Leitha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
3º
12
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ELE
5 - 0
DON
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DON
2 - 0
LEO
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DON
0 - 1
DRA
78%
13%
8%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 2
DON
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DON
0 - 2
SVS
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bruck/Leitha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 2
FCM
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SVS
7 - 0
LEI
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 0
SCH
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
2 - 2
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 3
WIE
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |