Donau vs Union Mauer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DON
0 - 0
DON
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DON
2 - 3
AUS
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SPR
2 - 2
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ELE
2 - 0
DON
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
DON
1 - 0
GER
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mauer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
POS
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
WIE
6 - 2
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 2
AUS
1%
3%
97%
|
15 | 79 | 64 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 3
SCW
25%
20%
55%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FAV
6 - 0
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |