Donau vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
WUR
2 - 0
DON
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
DON
2 - 0
RIT
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
DON
0 - 3
STR
6%
13%
82%
|
36 | 77 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1934 |
DON
2 - 2
FLW
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -11 |
| 06 May. 1934 |
AWM
3 - 3
DON
92%
6%
3%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 2
NEU
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FCW
2 - 1
PAR
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
WUR
2 - 2
PAR
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
PAR
8 - 0
SVR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
WIE
0 - 0
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |