Donau vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ADM
2 - 0
DON
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DON
1 - 5
POS
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SIM
3 - 1
DON
9%
18%
73%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DON
3 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DON
0 - 0
WIE
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 7
FIR
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 6
WIE
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DON
4 - 0
NAC
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
6 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
OST
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |