Donau vs Mannswörth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
6º
37
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 3
DON
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 2
SVH
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
DON
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DON
1 - 1
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 1
DON
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mannswörth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
RED
39%
21%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
WIE
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 2
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |