Donau vs Kagran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+139%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
6º
24
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SKS
4 - 1
DON
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SCW
2 - 1
DON
85%
10%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DON
0 - 2
MAU
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 2
DON
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WIE
3 - 1
DON
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
3 - 2
RED
21%
20%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 1
STA
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 0
KAG
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 2
MAN
29%
20%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WAF
2 - 1
KAG
61%
18%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |