Donau vs First Vienna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
AUS
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
OST
0 - 3
DON
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
DON
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DON
2 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 3
FIR
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 0
DON
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FIR
4 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AUS
4 - 1
FIR
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 5
OST
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |