Donau vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SCW
3 - 1
DON
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DON
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DON
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUS
2 - 1
DON
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
GER
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FAV
3 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
AUS
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GER
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 0
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |