Donau vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
DON
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
STA
23%
24%
54%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GER
3 - 1
DON
55%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
POS
22%
24%
55%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SKS
0 - 0
DON
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
STA
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
POS
4 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
NAC
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
FAV
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |