Donau Linz vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donau Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 3
DON
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
DON
0 - 2
UNP
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
DON
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DON
5 - 0
GMU
50%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
DON
0 - 3
NEU
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 3
NEU
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SVW
5 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
HER
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAR
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRI
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |