Don Bosco vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DON
0 - 2
FIC
46%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FIC
2 - 0
DON
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
FIC
1 - 0
DON
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VIO
1 - 1
DON
31%
33%
37%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
RDC
0 - 1
DON
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
CAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
MON
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
PAC
1 - 0
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |