Don Benito U19 vs CD Castuera U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
18º
10º
44
4º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 83 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Benito U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 2
DBN
73%
16%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DBN
0 - 0
CDB
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LCV
4 - 2
DBN
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DBN
0 - 2
MOR
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
DBN
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castuera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
FLE
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
EFE
3 - 2
CSU
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 2
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COR
5 - 1
CSU
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CSU
2 - 2
CPA
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |