Dominica vs Saint Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
14.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17.3%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.6%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
5.1%
1.1%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
DMA
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 4
MTQ
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 5
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GUY
3 - 0
DMA
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
MTQ
1 - 0
MAF
94%
6%
1%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 0
MAF
5%
14%
81%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
HTI
2 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
14 | 75 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
JAM
12 - 0
MAF
91%
8%
1%
|
15 | 80 | 65 | -1 |