Dominica vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
5 - 1
DMA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
MEX
8 - 0
DMA
94%
5%
1%
|
50 | 92 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 10
MEX
10%
22%
69%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
BHS
1 - 3
DMA
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
DMA
1 - 1
BHS
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 1
GUF
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
58%
21%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GLP
2 - 0
ATG
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
TTO
1 - 0
GLP
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
GLP
2 - 3
CUB
8%
19%
72%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |