Dominica vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
DMA
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DMA
2 - 1
ATG
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DMA
2 - 3
JAM
8%
17%
75%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
GTM
6 - 0
DMA
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
VCT
2 - 0
DMA
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ATG
0 - 1
BMU
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BMU
2 - 3
DOM
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BMU
1 - 6
HND
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 1
BMU
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
5 - 1
BMU
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |