Dominica vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
1 - 0
DMA
67%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 0
DMA
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
DMA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 5
PAN
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 82 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VCT
1 - 0
DMA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ABW
2 - 2
DOM
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SUR
0 - 0
ABW
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ABW
4 - 2
LCA
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
ANT
3 - 0
ABW
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | -1 |