Dominica vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
0 - 0
DMA
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
3 - 2
DMA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
DMA
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LCA
0 - 5
JAM
10%
20%
69%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |