Dominica vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
DMA
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
1 - 0
DMA
67%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 0
DMA
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
DMA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
1 - 0
VCT
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
5 - 1
CUW
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |