Dominica vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KNA
5 - 0
DMA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 0
GUY
11%
19%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DMA
3 - 5
GRD
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DMA
2 - 3
VCT
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LCA
2 - 0
GUY
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
KNA
0 - 0
LCA
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
LCA
0 - 0
VCT
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
GRD
0 - 1
LCA
65%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |