Dominica vs British Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
TCA
0 - 3
DMA
19%
19%
62%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LCA
3 - 1
DMA
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 1
AIA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 0
DMA
10%
15%
76%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VGB
3 - 1
TCA
10%
12%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
VGB
1 - 3
PRI
10%
14%
77%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
PRI
6 - 0
VGB
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CYM
1 - 1
VGB
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
VGB
1 - 1
CYM
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |