WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Dominica vs British Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
VGB
2 - 3
DMA
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
1 - 2
LCA
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KNA
5 - 0
DMA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 0
GUY
11%
19%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
VGB
2 - 3
DMA
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
VGB
80%
14%
6%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VGB
0 - 6
VCT
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
VGB
0 - 2
TCA
7%
15%
77%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
7 - 0
VGB
86%
11%
4%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |