WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribe 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-7
Dominica vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
HTI
4 - 0
DMA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
DMA
2 - 0
ATG
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
DMA
2 - 1
LCA
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
DMA
2 - 1
LCA
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1999 |
LCA
2 - 1
DMA
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
HTI
4 - 0
DMA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
9 - 2
HTI
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2000 |
HTI
1 - 1
PER
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
HTI
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
HTI
3 - 2
VEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |