Dominica vs Guyana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
DMA
3 - 5
GRD
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DMA
2 - 3
VCT
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
0 - 0
DMA
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
3 - 2
DMA
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guyana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GUY
4 - 3
GUF
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
2 - 1
GUY
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
HTI
1 - 0
GUY
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CUW
1 - 2
GUY
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |