WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-6
Dominica vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 1
VCT
27%
23%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GRD
1 - 2
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 1
DMA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 0
VGB
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
VGB
2 - 3
DMA
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 3
CAN
11%
18%
72%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
GTM
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
ISL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
ISL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 0
CAN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |