Dominica vs Bahamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SXM
0 - 2
DMA
7%
13%
80%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
5 - 0
DMA
82%
14%
3%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 0
SUR
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DMA
2 - 2
VCT
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BHS
6 - 1
TCA
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
BHS
1 - 1
AIA
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BHS
0 - 6
ATG
25%
21%
55%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BLZ
4 - 0
BHS
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BMU
3 - 0
BHS
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |