Domerat vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
14º
11º
47
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domerat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
DOM
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
LDU
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
DOM
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 3
VAU
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
DOM
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAE
2 - 1
CLE
71%
17%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AIN
1 - 3
SAE
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAE
0 - 1
BOU
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 2
SAE
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAE
1 - 2
AIX
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |