Domagnano vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 0
FIO
24%
22%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOM
2 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
5 - 3
DOM
36%
23%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
DOM
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 5
PEN
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
SGI
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 3
TPE
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +3 |