Domagnano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
3 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 3
FAE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 1
DOM
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
JUV
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
MUR
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
3 - 2
MUR
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |