Domagnano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 3
MUR
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 3
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 3
SGI
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 3
MUR
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAI
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |