Domagnano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
13º
10º
31
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
6 - 2
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
DOM
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
11%
21%
68%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 2
LIB
22%
24%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 1
FIO
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 2
SGI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
MUR
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
SGI
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |