Domagnano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
54%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 1
TPE
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
DOM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
2 - 3
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 3
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BUD
3 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
COS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |