Domagnano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 1
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 5
MUR
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 3
MUR
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |