Domagnano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 1
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
7 - 0
FAE
34%
24%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 1
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |