Domagnano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
7 - 0
FAE
34%
24%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |