Domagnano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
DOM
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 1
FAE
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
TFI
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FIO
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |