Real Brasília vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 0
DOM
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -3 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
GAM
14%
22%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |