Real Brasília vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 3
ATL
3%
12%
86%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
32%
24%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
GAM
14%
22%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |